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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down by nearly 14%, while the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.53%, the Nasdaq down 0.66% and the S&P 500 index down 0.54%. Adobe, the developer of image processing software, fell nearly 14%, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected. Gold and silver mining stocks generally fell, Cordillen Mining fell by nearly 7%, Hekla Mining, Anglogold and Pan American Silver fell by more than 5%, and harmony Gold fell by more than 4%. Bitcoin once again fell below the $100,000 mark, cryptocurrency concept stock Bit Digital fell more than 5%, and MicroStrategy fell nearly 5%.Warner Bros. exploration closed up 15%, its best one-day performance in a year. In the news, the company announced that it will implement a new corporate structure, aiming at enhancing its strategic flexibility and creating potential opportunities for releasing additional shareholder value. Under the new architecture, Global Linear Networks and Streaming & Studios will operate as two separate departments.

Banks prepare for personal pension account opening. Marketing insurance companies lay out early to seize the opportunity. The year-end and year-end are the last moment of personal pension annual payment. On December 12, the personal pension system ushered in expansion. The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other five departments issued the "Notice on the Full Implementation of the Personal Pension System", saying that since December 15th, the personal pension system has been pushed from 36 pilot cities (regions) to the whole country. The reporter learned that as the "entrance" of individual pension accounts, banks are actively preparing for account opening marketing. For example, many banks have launched preferential activities for opening accounts and paying personal pensions by appointment, and activities such as reduction of funds, payment ceremony and lottery withdrawal have taken turns. As an in-depth participant in the individual pension system, insurance companies have also made positive statements and will seize the historical opportunity to participate more deeply in the construction of the third pillar of the pension system. (SSE)The US dollar index rose on the 12th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.23% that day and closed at 106.957 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0473 US dollars, lower than 1.0492 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2670, down from $1.2745 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.54 yen, down from 152.65 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8914 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8848 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4208 Canadian dollars, higher than 1.4162 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 11.0106, higher than SEK 10.9791 in the previous trading day.New york Fed: Anna Nordstrom will be the temporary market director.

Uruguay's GDP in the third quarter increased by 4.1% year on year.Blinken said that the United States is trying to bring back the citizens found in Syria. When meeting in Jordan to discuss the political transition in Syria, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said that the United States is trying to bring back an American citizen found in Syria on Thursday.Macron's visit to Poland to seek a stable ally focused on the Ukrainian issue. On the 12th local time, French President Macron visited Poland and held talks with Polish Prime Minister Tusk. The Ukrainian issue was the focus of discussion between the leaders of the two countries.